NERDQUANT / HISTORICAL RESEARCH

UK monthly GDP
One minute after the release

GBPUSD · 20 event periods · January 2025–August 2026
$10,000 reset per period · Original strategy · TargetPips 50

Results at a glance

Total profit$2,327.14
Average profit / event$116.36
Profitable periods19 / 20 (95%)
Average holding period9.80 calendar days
Average maximum equity drawdown5.26% / $528.70
Largest relative equity drawdown37.89%
Average winning period$127.97
Average losing period$-104.23
Best period2025-08-14 / $255.90
Worst period2025-05-15 / $-104.23

Profit through the sample

$-140.24$-32.20$75.84$183.87$291.912025-01-16: $199.562025-01-162025-02-13: $108.662025-02-132025-03-14: $100.312025-03-142025-04-11: $138.482025-04-112025-05-15: $-104.232025-05-152025-06-12: $105.092025-06-122025-07-11: $165.532025-07-112025-08-14: $255.902025-08-142025-09-12: $101.692025-09-122025-10-16: $121.282025-10-162025-11-13: $100.182025-11-132025-12-12: $102.002025-12-122026-01-15: $109.822026-01-152026-02-12: $111.132026-02-122026-03-13: $100.382026-03-132026-04-16: $107.562026-04-162026-05-14: $181.092026-05-142026-06-12: $101.692026-06-122026-07-16: $119.782026-07-162026-08-13: $101.242026-08-13

Cumulative results add independent event profits; this is not a compounded or shared-account portfolio.

How this was tested

Entry at the first simulated tick at or after 07:01 UK local time (09:01 broker time), one minute after the verified 07:00 ONS monthly GDP release. If still active, additional entries follow on the same weekday and clock time one and two weeks later. Stop permanently once all positions and pending orders are closed and the balance is above the initial $10,000. Remaining positions close at the final Friday cutoff in the third calendar week.

TargetPips 50; weekly fresh start enabled; external reserve capital excluded; no experimental safeguards. Same previously validated clock-configurable EA binary. M15 test period, 1-minute OHLC simulation, 100 ms execution delay, 1:100 leverage, profit-in-pips accounting. Results are USD price-profit equivalents before swaps and commissions. News slippage and live tick execution are not reconstructed.

Average holding period measures the first opening fill to the last closing fill of each event, including weekends. Average drawdown is the mean of each event’s maximum relative equity drawdown; the dollar figure separately averages each event’s maximum dollar equity drawdown. The September 11, 2026 release is future-dated and excluded. Historical results do not establish future profitability.

Every event

ReleaseProfit USDMax DDHolding daysFirst trade (server)Last trade (server)Exit
2025-01-16$199.568.78%14.572025.01.16 09:01:002025.01.30 22:39:40Flat and profitable
2025-02-13$108.666.17%14.282025.02.13 09:01:002025.02.27 15:46:40Flat and profitable
2025-03-14$100.310.30%10.142025.03.14 09:01:002025.03.24 12:19:40Flat and profitable
2025-04-11$138.4837.89%12.422025.04.11 09:01:002025.04.23 18:58:40Flat and profitable
2025-05-15$-104.2311.22%15.622025.05.15 09:01:002025.05.30 23:59:59Maximum window reached
2025-06-12$105.091.40%11.052025.06.12 09:01:002025.06.23 10:15:20Flat and profitable
2025-07-11$165.532.90%10.042025.07.11 09:01:002025.07.21 10:00:00Flat and profitable
2025-08-14$255.909.12%8.332025.08.14 09:01:002025.08.22 17:00:40Flat and profitable
2025-09-12$101.691.23%10.432025.09.12 09:01:002025.09.22 19:21:40Flat and profitable
2025-10-16$121.281.15%8.272025.10.16 09:01:002025.10.24 15:30:40Flat and profitable
2025-11-13$100.180.85%1.062025.11.13 09:01:002025.11.14 10:22:40Flat and profitable
2025-12-12$102.001.55%14.432025.12.12 09:01:002025.12.26 19:16:40Flat and profitable
2026-01-15$109.821.02%5.042026.01.15 09:01:002026.01.20 10:00:00Flat and profitable
2026-02-12$111.130.69%8.102026.02.12 09:01:002026.02.20 11:30:40Flat and profitable
2026-03-13$100.380.91%3.472026.03.13 09:01:002026.03.16 20:10:40Flat and profitable
2026-04-16$107.562.34%7.372026.04.16 09:01:002026.04.23 17:46:40Flat and profitable
2026-05-14$181.093.33%8.302026.05.14 09:01:002026.05.22 16:09:40Flat and profitable
2026-06-12$101.690.71%5.572026.06.12 09:01:002026.06.17 22:38:40Flat and profitable
2026-07-16$119.7812.05%14.132026.07.16 09:01:002026.07.30 12:11:40Flat and profitable
2026-08-13$101.241.56%13.292026.08.13 09:01:002026.08.26 16:03:40Flat and profitable

Official release dates and times

2025-01-16 2025-02-13 2025-03-14 2025-04-11 2025-05-15 2025-06-12 2025-07-11 2025-08-14 2025-09-12 2025-10-16 2025-11-13 2025-12-12 2026-01-15 2026-02-12 2026-03-13 2026-04-16 2026-05-14 2026-06-12 2026-07-16 2026-08-13

Research date: 9 September 2026. Complete MT5 reports, inputs, journals and fill audits are retained in the research archive.