EURGBPHistorical simulation

UK CPI: 20 releases on EURGBP, five minutes after release

20 completed periods; 50-pip target, entry five minutes after release and a five-week maximum. Average return +0.65%, average holding 18.32 days.

15 January 2025 - 19 August 202620 completed event periodsResearch date: 2026-09-15

Average profit / event+0.65%

Average holding period18.32 days

Average max. drawdown2.56% (average maximum relative)

20 UK CPI y/y releases on EURGBP, 15 January 2025 – 19 August 2026. Entry at 07:05 UK time, five minutes after the announcement. TargetPips 50; HwmProfitTargetPct 1%; weekly additions while active, and permanent stop when flat and profitable. Maximum window: five calendar weeks.

19 of 20 periods were profitable. Average return was +0.65%, average holding 18.32 days and maximum holding 30.62 days. Average maximum relative equity drawdown was 2.56%; worst drawdown was 19.14%.

The loss beginning June 17, 2026 ended at the five-week limit with a -7.33% return. Historical win rates do not establish future probabilities.

Returns divide GBP price-profit amounts by the initial 10,000 simulated units on the same accounting basis. Relative drawdowns use the relevant equity peak. This is not a faithful USD cash-account simulation. Swaps and commissions are excluded, and live news execution is not reconstructed. Other inflation figures are released simultaneously; results cannot isolate CPI y/y alone. Accumulated returns sum independent-event returns and are not compounded portfolio performance.