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EURUSDHistorical simulation

FOMC press conference: 20 events on EURUSD, five minutes after the start

20 completed periods; 50-pip target and five-week maximum. Average return +1.76%, average holding 8.20 days.

20 March 2024 - 29 July 202620 completed event periodsResearch date: 2026-09-16
Average profit / event+1.76%
Average holding period8.20 days
Average max. drawdown4.93% (average maximum relative)

20 completed FOMC press-conference events on EURUSD, 20 March 2024 – 29 July 2026. Entry at 14:35 New York time, five minutes after the scheduled conference start, with date-specific daylight-saving conversion. TargetPips 50; HwmProfitTargetPct 1%; weekly additions while active, and permanent stop when flat and profitable. Maximum window: five calendar weeks.

20 of 20 periods were profitable. Average return +1.76%; median return +1.05%. Average holding 8.20 days; maximum holding 18.85 days. Average maximum relative equity drawdown 4.93%; worst drawdown 25.34%.

Returns use the initial 10,000 simulated units in the same USD price-profit accounting basis. Relative drawdowns use the relevant equity peak. The platform uses simplified profit-in-pips accounting, one-minute OHLC modelling and simulated execution. Swaps and commissions are excluded; live news slippage and actual speaking delays are not reconstructed. This is not a faithful cash-account simulation. Historical wins do not establish future probabilities. Accumulated returns sum independent-event returns and are not compounded portfolio performance. Holding periods include weekends.

The September 16, 2026 conference had not occurred when testing began and is excluded. The 50-event sample includes the same verified 20 recent events plus 30 earlier events.

COMPLETE INTERACTIVE REPORT

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